DonParagon's
Vision of the Future

 
Vision of the Future
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DonParagon's Vision of the Future and the place of optionality in Don's Vision have been described in various articles in Quintessence's magazine Optionality over the years, as interpretations of Don's music. What follows is an extract from those articles that starts with an overview and gradually goes into more detailed aspects of Don's Vision, with a content table at the end.


A: The Rise & Fall of the Government


How the Government came into being

DonParagon envisages future times in which people will be able to be creative, to improvise and develop versatile personalities to interrelate on the basis of voluntary agreement and for mutual benefits and appreciation.

Central in Don's Vision is the place of the Government in time, i.e. in history and in future. Don points out that we are now witnessing the Era of Government, but that in prehistoric times it was common for people to live in tribes moving from place to place without such a territorial institution ruling their lives. In the picture below, time progresses from left to right. The biggest event in this picture was the emergence of the Government, after people started to settle down.

Settlement

Don argues that the Government came into being as people settled down permanently in a specific geographic area. In a dramatic shift in culture, family traditions and a tribal and nomadic lifestyle made way for a territorial culture of a population working for economic gain and greater glory of the land, as determined by rules and politics. The Government emerged as a result of territorial thinking, according to Don.



The End of the Government

In Don's Vision, interpreting the past is the key to see how future times will look like. Understanding that the Government has only been around for a relatively short period in history makes it easier to see that the Government will also come to an end. Throughout history, there are processes at work that are responsible for some long-term trends that will culminate in what Don calls the Mobile Revolution, that will end the Government as we know it. The picture below also includes future times that will have banned the rule of the Government.

Post Government

The Government emerged, according to Don, in a revolutionary change in culture that Don refers to as settlement. In time, the Government will come to an end in an equally dramatic revolution, as the culmination of a number of long-term trends that defy this territorial thinking. Innovative designs, progress in technology and production processes and on-going gains in overall efficiency are making it ever easier to produce items and provide services anywhere in the world. Relatively speaking, control over land and its resources is now less relevant to the creation of wealth and prosperity. The shift from rural to urban living and the shift away from manual labor can also be seen in this light, as they go hand in hand with this shift away from the importance of land and physical resources.

All these trends challenge the lust for power of the Government, fed by its control over territory. In a modern world with advanced communications, the Government (in the sense of a ruler over territory) will increasingly turn out to be an unacceptable concept not only from technological and economic perspectives, but from all kinds of perspectives, including social, ethical, political, logical, philosophical and moral perspectives. In the end, the Government - being tied to territory - will not survive what Don calls the Mobile Revolution.

Don predicts that innovations in transport, computers and communications will make people ever more mobile, i.e. people will be able to move around more easily. The Internet already allows people to be virtually present at several places simultaneously, participating in groups, contributing to projects, initiating action or otherwise having an impact, while physically being somewhere else. As people can more easily transcend territorial limitations, the practice of dividing up territory by drawing geographical boundaries becomes less and less relevant; the truly revolutionary aspect of this development is that it will cause the Government as a system that is based on this practice, to collapse. In the process, concepts created by the Government such as police, education, work, trade, money, politics, etc, will fade away and new approaches will emerge in the ways people deal with each other and develop their talents.



The total Picture

In Don's Vision, cultures differ distinctly for each Era, e.g. the dominant activities in the Pre-Government Era were hunting and gathering, while in the Era of Government the most important activity is commonly referred to as work; Don argues that in the Post-Government Era the most important activity will be Improvisation. This is why Don refers to such future times as Improvisation Time.

Improvisation


The above picture looks at differences between the dominant activities in each culture; but this is only one way to compare such cultures. Cultures can be compared with each other in a number of ways. One could look, e.g., at what represents success or prosperity in each culture, how people interrelate or what the dominant ideologies or belief systems are. Don calls this the cultural aspects that all tend to change together when cultures change over time. There are many cultural aspects by which one can compare cultures, the picture below lists eight of them.

Overview

The above picture gives an overview of DonParagon's Vision, which includes history, present and future times. Vision of the Future actually refers to the part of Don's Vision that shows where all these trends will lead to. In Part C and Part D, Don's Vision is worked out in more detail for the various Eras. Part C describes transformations that have taken place within the Era of Government. Part D describes Don's Vision of the Future of a Post-Government Era in more detail.


B: Cultural Progress

Obviously, one can question the accuracy of such descriptions of the past and predictions of the future. Don pictures cultures in a specific sequence, as if they progress through time in a specific order. Don argues that such a sequence of cultures is inevitable. Not only is it inevitable that cultures are changing and will continue to change, they change in a specific order. Don recognizes progress in the way cultures follow each other up, progress towards what he refers to as the Post-Government Era.

The Inevitability of Change

Don speaks of processes that are taking place on an on-going basis. Such processes are technological innovation, methods to do things more efficiently, on-going efforts to make improvements and develop ways to do things faster, more reliable, etc. Whatever people do, there will inevitably be someone who manages to adopt a more innovative way to do it more efficiently. Improvements may not be instantly recognized as such, but eventually more efficient ways of doing things will prevail. The joint efforts by many people all trying to improve methods and technology or whatever they do, result in a huge total increase in efficiency over time. Such processes force cultures to change, in the sense that one culture is followed up by another culture that can better cope with the new conditions.

The Direction of Change

Not only does Don regard it as inevitable that a specific culture in the end has to give way under the pressure of new developments. Don also argues that there is a specific direction in the way these cultures follow each other up. According to Don, cultural progress inevitably leads towards what he calls The Post-Government Era. In essence, the Government is a system that forces people to recognize territorial borders that are, in many respects, artificial. As time goes on and as new technologies are developed and more efficient methods emerge, it will inevitably become easier to bypass such borders. Don argues that a number of successive revolutions in the past have irreversibly changed the way the Government operates, with the result that the Government is now unable to cope with the coming Mobile Revolution.

The Nature of Change

In a revolution, a sudden switch takes place from one culture to another. The existing culture can, due to its dominance, resist changes and new cultural values for a long time, until the existing culture suddenly breaks down. Then the values of the new culture replace the old values, i.e. the culture changes in character for all the aspects that make up such a culture to make place for new ones. Examples of such cultural aspects are activities, i.e. what are seen as the dominant and most important activities in a specific culture, the measures of success and prosperity, what people believe in and what is the most dominant ideology.

The cultural change from a nomadic existence to permanent settlement was a revolutionary change. The change radically affected the way people lived in many ways. In many respects, it was a clash between two cultures that were incompatible with each other. People who settled down put up fences and protected the settlement and the possessions they collected. In a nomadic culture, people cannot carry too many things along. Once people settled down, they went through a radical cultural transformation that affected all their values.

With settlement, the Government emerged and dictated the way people lived. Just like any dominant culture, the Government resists changes. The Government rejects changes that challenge its position of power, in particular challenges of the central premise on which the grip that the Government has over society is based, such as a statement that organizing society along territorial lines does not make sense. The Government will try and hang on to the existing situation for as long as it can. As change is inevitable, the result is a sudden revolution in which the grip of the Government over society collapses. The only way for the Government to regain its power is to embrace the new values that cultural change inevitably brings and to formalize these new values into a new culture that in time will again be challenged by new developments.

The following Part C describes how cultural values have changed during what Don refers to as the Era of Government, under the pressure of revolutions. Two such revolutions are described in more detail, with a focus on the ways they have affected the Government: the Industrial Revolution and developments in electronics. The picture below shows how the Industrial Revolution splits the Era of Government into the Agricultural Age and the Developed World. Subsequently, the Developed World is split by developments in electronics into the Industrial Age and the Information Age.


Era of Government

C: Transformation of the Government

The Agricultural Age

History as taught at School

At school, history is often presented as a mere sequence of battles between warring countries. Children have to quote where and when battles and wars took place and they are tested for such knowledge at school examinations. Few seem to know what the respective battle was about or what its impact was on how people lived, the consequences for the people who lost and those who won battles. Of course, in war everybody loses, but teachers who tell about all the senseless destruction, killing, rape, pillage and plunder that took place in history are often regarded as unpatriotic.

The Government controls education, it glorifies nationalism and teaches that national borders are drawn on the battlefield. But of course, battles did not shape history. There are few areas in which such blatantly inconsistent nonsense is presented as "facts" and as "the truth" as in history lessons at school. The Government is keen to make children believe that war is heroic. History lessons often teach that art, science and technology flourished under the protection of benevolent Kings and even in pre-historic times. The Government wants children to believe that any period in history was pretty much the same, that there always were educated engineers, conscripted soldiers and battles between nation, most of all that there always was the Government to organize all this. Like geography and other subjects at school, history at school is full of territorial borders, nations and capital cities, as if the only thing that was different was their name. The Government wants children to believe that the Government in "our" nation does things better than governments do in other nations or did in the past.

The first manifestation of the Government

Instead of accepting this clearly biased version of history that the Government preaches, it makes more sense to imagine that, in the early history of human beings, people were not yet subjected to the wrath of territorial government. People lived in groups, tribes, with close family ties. In Don's Vision, cattle symbolizes the way people looked at prosperity. Nomads followed the big herds and made a living hunting and fishing, gathering food as they found it and collecting useful tools on the way. Today, there are still groups living in such circumstances, e.g. in the deserts of Australia and Africa and the plains of the Arctic. People have to keep moving because the animals do. There may temporary cases of settling down, but everyone moves on again as the site loses its attractiveness, e.g. due to depletion of its resources or due to pollution.

In history, permanent settlement emerged at strategic places rich of resources and water. As agriculture developed, such settlements could sustain ever larger populations. Agriculture is in many respects incompatible with the culture of nomads and herds of cattle that roam the land. This is why farmers will try to keep out nomads and their herds by making barriers that will keep such herds out of their territory. Such settlements put up fences, not only to keep domesticated animals captive, but also to keep out the nomadic tribes that accompanied such herds. This made people susceptible to the idea that one specific territory belonged to one specific people.

History lessons at school may mention the introduction of agriculture as a significant event in history. But they fail to mention that it went hand in hand with the establishment of the Government as an institution. It was at those permanent settlements that the concept of government as we know it today developed, including its rules regarding trade and other behavior, its police and military forces to enforce such rules and practices such as taxation to fund its regime. It was the exploitation of a (geographically) strategic monopoly that created the concept of government. The concept of government came hand in hand with the process of fencing territory.

The Emergence of Rules

The shift from nomads to settlers brought with it the legal notion of property, in particular in relation to real estate. A site with picket fences started to replace the sight of roaming cattle as the symbol of prosperity. With the concept of ownership came the concept of theft and rules how to behave. For people to permanently settle down and live together, it was deemed necessary to enforce rules such as: Thou shalt not kill! - Thou shalt not steal! - Thou shalt not take one's neighbor's wife!

As people came from a culture in which force was dominant, they were susceptible to accept such an essentially dictatorial system. From a background of family structures and tradition, people were used to accept authority. The newly imposed hierarchy and rules were different from the traditional parental control, but the system of government presented itself as a disciplinary parent, to make itself more acceptable. Kings used both their military power and psychological methods such as religion to make people bow to their control, to make people subjects, herds of obeying sheep. These rules were to be uniformily applied throughout the territory controlled by the monarch. Rules and hierarchies were prescribed not on the basis of family values and tradition, but as if they were defined by an almighty God, by a superior power. Where people previously believed in nature, formal religion was introduced as if it was the foundation of such rules.

By comparison, later shifts in lifestyle and culture, such as the industrial revolution and the shift from manual labor to handling information in order to earn a living, were far less dramatic and therefore did not manage to shake off the Government as a system and concept. The French Revolution and the collapse of communism in Eastern Europe were minor events compared to the emergence of the Government as a system. The Government remained in power and continued to control the way society was structured. Nevertheless, such changes in culture are consistent with some long-term trends and on-going processes that Don Paragon argues will eventually and inevitably lead to the end of the Government as an institution that controls society.

The Industrial Age

One major cultural change was brought about by the Industrial Revolution, that emerged as the result of innovations that inevitably were to take place in one country or another. The Industrial Revolution caused a massive shift from agriculture to paid work in manufacturing, a shift from rural to urban life and growing appreciation for science and technology.

Human muscle power, animals and land were no longer as relevant in the creation of wealth as before. Without possessing them, people could nevertheless be hugely productive with the help of machinery. Products could be produced in enormous quantities that could be traded against what someone else had in abundance. Civilization was what the Government called this massive urban development that followed the Industrial Revolution. Relatively speaking, the quantity of land one possessed became less important from an economic perspective.

This development went hand in hand with growing demands for civil rights for citizens. In the Agricultural Age, Kings resolved conflicts by ruling who was to possess land. As the Agricultural Age came to an end, possession of land became less important. Output was no longer as dependent on the size of land. To finance their wars and lifestyle, Kings were forced to grant settlements city rights, such as the right to build a wall around the settlement, the right to operate a police force and the right for certain citizens to be active in certain professions. Kings that did not give in to such demands for civil rights, ended up with what civilization called "under-developed" dictatorships, with an "uncooperative workforce" and with slow economic growth.

The Government encouraged monopolies in urban infrastructure, education, health care, transport, finance, communications, law and order, etc. Itself a monopoly, the Government trusted that it could count on such monopolies to support its overall control. Such monopolies made it easy for trade unions to emerge that could paralyze the entire economy and force the Government to accept their demands. As the Industrial Age progressed, the Government gave in to demands from unions for better work conditions. Democracy also forced the Government to introduce all kinds of social support for large groups of voters.

In the transformation from a feudal agricultural Kingdom to a "Developed Nation", the Government as an institution could only survive by portraying itself as a system that could peacefully settle conflicts with respect for property rights as well as for social issues and civil rights such as equal treatment before the law. As the system of government became more complex, it became impossible for a single Monarch to fully administer such a system. Inevitably, the arbitrary rule of Kings had to be replaced by an administrative bureaucracy with parliaments formulating the law and courts basing their judgment on this law. The written law could better accommodate the new requirements.

When the characteristics of the culture that is dominant in "developed nations" are incorporated into the big picture, a new and more detailed picture emerges, as shown below.

Industrial Revolution

The new values that emerged as a result of the Industrial Revolution, challenged the entire culture of the Agricultural Age. To survive, the Government had to adopt these new values. And the more society embraced the written law, democracy, science, etc, the more this transformation became irreversible.

The Agricultural Age had replaced the until then common use of physical threat and punishment to settle arguments, with a system of rules. The threat and infliction of physical abuse was more and more replaced by the threat of eternal hellfire. The Industrial Age further reduced the importance of muscle power in society. Manual workers gradually became operators of machinery. An education system developed, in which a shift took place from training in manual skills by imitation and practice to adopting professional practices by more intellectual methods. The dominance of manual labor and technical know-how in industry and infrastructure in the Industrial Age was to be replaced by services and knowledge in the Information Age.


The Information Age

Many books have been written about how Information Revolution is bringing us in the Information Age. Don actually uses the term electronics as the symbol of technological change that has characterized the 20th century. Electronics has played a central role in the rise of and innovation in telecommunications, entertainment, security, finance, computing, administration, design, news, marketing, etc. In technological terms, an evolution has taken place in which components became ever smaller and cheaper, more powerful, yet requiring less electrical power. Electricity was complemented by electronics and subsequently by micro-electronics and ICs. One could also include photonics to capture developments such as fibre optics, LCDs and CDs. So, perhaps a broader term than electronics should be used. Whatever name one wants to use, the changes in technology are merely evolutionary, while the change in culture is truly revolutionary. An expanded education system, people moving into newly developed suburbs and finding work in services, these are all signs of a Post-Industrial culture. The infrastructure in the city center no longer dominates the creation of wealth, but information now determines prosperity.

As the processes continue of making improvements, applying new technology and more efficient methods, old-fashioned cultures lose their relevance. People become more independent from tradition and family ties. Instead of following in their parents footsteps, young people can choose where they want to study, work and live. In old-fashioned large organizations, employees could expect a life-time career. They were paid for their presence and to obey orders, and not to come up with smart ideas. Today, sophisticated financial services can combine venture capital, options and futures with computerized forecasting and risk-assessment. This has allowed people with ideas, knowledge and professional skills that never showed up on the asset sheets of the company where they previously worked for, to set up their own small enterprises.

Such cultural change benefits small and flexible enterprises that can quickly design and market ever smaller, lighter and cheaper products. Production facilities themselves have become ever lighter and smaller and can be transported by air to wherever conditions are most attractive. By adopting the latest technology, by diversification of products and innovation in existing product lines, by adopting short production cycles and just-in-time delivery techniques and by aiming for world markets, small and flexible enterprises can be more successful than large organizations that put a lot of time and effort into the management and politics of trying to dominate the local market with a single, standard product. Under the impact of on-going innovation and improvements in efficiency, values such as competition and capitalism and a focus on services and information have turned out to be more successful in trade. Tariff walls, support for domestic industries and similar manifestations of government intervention have been exposed as failures.

DonParagon focuses on the impact of cultural changes on the Government. The current Information Age challenges the values the Government had to adopt in the Industrial Age in a similar way as the Industrial Revolution had earlier challenged the way society was organized in the Agricultural Age. The point that Don makes is that all such cultural changes have an irreversible impact on the way the Government operates and controls society. In the Agricultural Age, the key to prosperity was control over property. In the Industrial Age it was infrastructure. In the Information Age, the key to prosperity became information itself. Importantly, information is conceptually even less compatible with the Government that seeks power from control over territory. Due to its fluid nature, information is hard to contain within or kept outside of one specific geographic area. In the Information Age, the Government will look like a sandcastle on the beach, desperately resisting the inevitable change and crumbling as each wave becomes higher than the previous one in the rising tide.

DonParagon argues that, conceptually, the Government goes hand in hand with geographical borders. Don points at the coming "Mobile Revolution". Geographical borders are essentially put up to prevent such mobility. The Government may still try to check people and products that cross borders. But information services will be increasingly difficult for the Government to control. As the importance of geographical borders decreases, the relevance of the Government can only diminish, argues Don.

Until now, the Government has managed to stay in control by pinning down suppliers in buildings and granting them exclusive licences, and by enforcing monopoly control over their activities. The Government is keen to continue with this strategy in the Information Age, e.g. by enacting intellectual property laws and by licensing and censoring TV-stations, but such control is less and less effective.

It will become increasingly difficult for the Government to impose its will on communications, transactions and other commercial activities that cross borders. Governments may agree to harmonize the laws between countries, but this only makes borders between such countries less relevant. Technology makes it increasingly difficult to check and control all the information that crosses territorial borders. Many services can defy territorial borders as they can technically operate as easily from abroad as domestically. Multinational companies can choose to locate specific functions in the nation with the least restrictive regime. People may work from home for foreign companies, using the Internet to compile reports, write software or media content, design fashion, provide accountancy services, etc, etc, while their pay is deposited on foreign anonymous password-operated accounts. People may lead multiple lives abroad under various names, working and spending money without any knowledge of their domestic Government.

It will become more and more easy to avoid detection by the Government of such activities. Computer content can be protected by passwords and by encryption, and can be transferred and backed up to alternative locations with a few keystrokes and in a matter of seconds. People no longer need an office to conduct such activities. All they need may be a Dick Tracy-type wrist-watch that doubles as a computer. Messages may be encrypted and sent from public Internet booths or kiosks. Encrypted messages may be sent to a so-called remailer. A remailer is an organization usually operating in a country that offers it the most attractive conditions in regard to privacy. The encrypted message that is received by the remailer is accompanied by a destination name that the remailer translates into an Internet address, after which it re-routes the message to its final destination. Such methods make it increasingly difficult for the Government to regulate such activities. Most of all, it will probably be the sheer amount of information that crosses borders, that will make it impossible for the Government to impose its control. The impact of such developments will be greater, the higher the levels of tax and government control are.

Such developments will force the Government to go with the flow, i.e. to lower taxes, to deregulate and promote competition and to embrace greater individual rights and a multi-party democracy with a capitalist inclination. For the Government, the only way to survive is to transform itself by embracing the values of this culture.

Electronics

In the above picture, electronics as a development that leads to the Information Age has been incorporated into the Era of Government.


D: The coming Post-Government Era

The Mobile Revolution

In the Information Age, the Government again survives by embracing the new culture, but the picture shows a pattern that is part of long-term trends towards less intervention by the Government and greater flexibility, mobility, yes, optionality.

The Era of Government will come to an end as all these trends culminate in what Don refers to as the Mobile Revolution. In the Information Age, the Government is technically K.O. in many respects. Financially, the Government only survives by selling off assets and making loans that it will be unable to repay. It's education system has no substance. Civil rights and multi-party democracy have stripped its power and bankrupted it. Free trade, capitalism and competition policy mean it no longer has control over work, commerce or the economy in general. Only the Government itself and the organizations that feed on it still occupy the city center. Prosperity is no longer dependent on land, machinery, buildings or other physical items. Who needs the offices that are glutting the city center, the congested roads, the degenerated public transport systems all leading to this temple of bureaucracy called the city center? Business structures, services and information now cross borders as they like and can be located anywhere in the world. We can now carry our office in one hand, but it is not even confined to one physical location, but can operate from multiple locations.

The Government, in its pursuit of opportunities for local economic success and growth of national wealth, realizes the importance of creative ideas. At the same time, the Government realizes that embracing creativity implies getting rid of regulations and that by minimizing its intervention and its regulatory reach, it will put itself out of the picture. Creative ideas flourish where the Government is least visible. In the case of the Mobile Revolution, the Government will be paralyzed as it will be unable to change any further. The Mobile Revolution will shake the foundations of the Government, until the Government loses its grip and collapses. As the new culture emerges, the Government will simply fade away into irrelevance.

The result is that taxes and tariffs will diminish, while deregulation and opening up of local markets will increase competition between suppliers. These developments, in combination with on-going innovation and improvements in efficiency, will make it ever easier for consumers to achieve a similar standard of living that now costs a large part of people's money. Don anticipates an increase in leisure time for the bulk of people and less profits to be made in trade. The result is a shift away from activities such as trading, making profits, earning money and making investments for the sake of dividends, towards activities that strengthen one's talents, name and profile, and broaden one's horizon, by developing ideas for the sake of personal fulfillment and appreciation. More and more, people will seek to interrelate on the basis of mutual and voluntary agreement to achieve what they jointly appreciate.

In the Mobile Revolution, people, their activities and their ideas are coming loose from one specific physical location and in the process they come loose from control by the Government. The Mobile Revolution makes people see their ideas elevated from one physical location and transcending geographical borders. It makes one able to present and express oneself in different places in the world simultaneously, without moving there in a physical sense. The Mobile Revolution enables anyone to effectively operate a global, interactive multi-channel TV broadcasting network from anywhere. The fatal challenge for the Government is exposure of its false rhetoric. The Government can exist only by controlling what takes place within national borders, but developments have largely made such control obsolete. People will start questioning the virtues of drawing such imaginary territorial lines called national borders. As the Government will be unable to provide answers, it will be exposed as a system that has failed even those who once believed to benefit from it.

The Full Picture

In the previous picture, the box with cultural aspects was left out. The above full picture, with such aspects added, gives a detailed interpretation of Don Paragon's Vision of the Future.



The Power of the Message

Processes such as improvements in management to achieve greater efficiency and technological progress result in innovations that are breaking down the regulatory barriers put up by the Government, while the Government desperately tries to keep up with developments by adjusting the regulatory framework.

One thing will spearhead the termination of this cycle of the Government continually trying to patch up legislation that is out of date and out of step with modern developments. One of the inevitable results of the Mobile Revolution is that more and more ideas will emerge that were previously ruled out by legislation or by economic control exercised by the Government over the media, telecommunications, etc. The current media and telecommunications carriers are very much the result of the way the Government has shaped society. As deregulation progresses, such dinosaurs will collapse. As new ways for people to communicate will emerge, new messages will be heard and one such message is DonParagon's Vision of the Future.

Don's Vision of the Future itself will be one of the catalysts for the Mobile Revolution. Don argues that discussions about even the possibility that the Government may indeed fade away in these developments, are currently suppressed. In many countries, questioning the Government is ruled out as libel or lese-majesty, condemned as not in the "interest of the people", disrespectful of Parliament, anarchist or rebellious. In many cases also, such suppression is not the result of direct censorship, but of the way the Government controls society. The Government avoids such discussions, as it is unable to show up in such discussions as an unbiased party. The traditional media have vested interests in the existing situation and will ignore such ideas as ludicrous or unscientific. University professors may analyze developments, but they too derive funding and power from the Government. Many people misguidedly believe that they benefit from the grip of the Government over society. Visions about a Post-Government Era have been suppressed for so long that once a discussion is started, it will strike with the impact of a novelty that becomes fashion.

As Don's Vision of the Future will seem to emerge from out of nowhere, yet appear everywhere, its impact will be a true revolution, it will sink in and shake the foundations of the Government and will hit with a force stronger than military might. The final and most potent element of Don's Vision is that the fact that the Mobile Revolution will seem to strike so suddenly, is itself a catalyst. Any appearance of such a message itself reinforces the content of the message. The speed and the global nature of the impact of the Mobile Revolution will appear as evidence that the message is indeed more powerful than tanks, canons and guns and that the Government has no response. The Government, with all its power, with its control over educational institutions, with all its bureaucrats checking the most futile details of what is going on in society, will be speechless and exposed as incompetent for the very reason that the Government is unable to respond to such a message.

The impact of DonParagon's message will go well beyond acting as a catalyst to end the rule of the Government. DonParagon's message will also play an important role in the Post-Government Era. Whenever people fear that new dictators will arise in the Post-Government Era, they will be reminded that this most powerful dictatorship of all - the Government - collapsed under the mounting arguments during the Mobile Revolution that such dictatorship should be terminated. In the Post-Government Era, there will be even less opportunities for dictators to emerge, as people will be far more aware of arguments such as put forward in DonParagon's Vision of the Future. Whereas a message such as Don's Vision was hardly heard during the Era of Government, there will be plenty of warnings in the Post-Government Era not to slide back into the failed practices of the past. DonParagon's Vision developed from a reflection on the situation as it was during the Era of Government, when questioning the Government was not encouraged. The fact that a single person can single-handedly create such a message, without commercial support and without researchers and analysts to work out economic data and principles, will serve as evidence how easily such messages can develop. In the Post-Government Era, with all its freedoms and encouragement of ideas, messages such as Don's Vision will have a far higher profile, as will exposure of behavior that seeks to establish dictatorial control.

Its Improvisation Time!

When those future times that DonParagon sings about will have finally arrived, people will say with DonParagon: "Its Improvisation Time!" Indeed, people's actions will no longer be driven by coercive rules, but people's actions will finally be based on ideas they like and on their talent to improvise in order to work out such ideas. People will be able to develop their talents, listen to their intuition and follow their dreams.

When it is Improvisation Time, people will communicate more with other people and such relationships will take the shape of friendship, guidance and advice, rather than instructions and regulations. One will be able to improvise, be creative and join in many initiatives and projects on the basis of voluntary agreement and for mutual benefits and appreciation. Most common motives behind people's actions will be development of one's talents, strengthening of friendships, the drive to achieve and the satisfaction of success that is enjoyed jointly by many while at the same time giving self-fulfillment to all of the participating individuals. Importantly, people will like it that way, because they will believe in optionality.


Content table


DonParagon's Vision of the Future
. . . . . GIF: Vision of the Future
A: The Rise & Fall of the Government
. . . How the Government came into being
. . . . GIF: Settlement
. . . The End of the Government
. . . . GIF: Post Government
. . . The Total Picture
. . . . GIF: Improvisation
. . . . GIF: Overview

B: Cultural Progress
. . . . The Inevitability of Change
. . . . The Direction of Change
. . . . The Nature of Change
. . . . GIF: The Era of Government

C: Transformation of the Government
. . . The Agricultural Age
. . . . History as taught at school
. . . . The first Manifestation of the Government
. . . . The Emergence of Rules
. . . The Industrial Age
. . . . GIF: Industrial Revolution
. . . The Information Age
. . . . GIF: Electronics

D: The Coming Post-Government Era
. . . . The Mobile Revolution
. . . . GIF: The Full Picture
. . . . The Power of the Message
. . . . It's Improvisation Time!

DonParagon's Vision of the Future has been described in various articles in Quintessence's Optionality Magazine over the years. Early publications include: The coming Post-Government Era in Optionality, October 1993 and The Mobile Revolution in Optionality, February 1994, while an early version of the graphics appeared in The Information Super-Highway to Security in Optionality, March 1994. © Optionality, 1996-99. All rights reserved.




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